These views on Egypt are based on direct observations
during sparse visits over the years, occasional news from friends living there
(now emigrated to the US), reports received from international agencies and, of
course, the ubiquitous media news.
Egypt Now
Lately, a professor at the American University in
Cairo shed light on what the population feels about the local “Arab spring”.
Another source of information is a fellow professor at the same institution who
keeps a blog on mostly academic subjects, but where the local reality frequently
transpires.
What they say is that even for those who
live there, it is sometimes difficult to understand what is actually going on.
There are still many supporters of the previous regime (and they are not only
members of the former president’s party), who seem to be a force to be reckoned
with. They prize the long years of peace, the tolerance between the various
religious communities, the stability that allowed tourism to flourish, a
certain economic growth and a timid but progressive secularization of the
society. The media seems to have played down that fact in their reporting on
the various factions fighting for prominence in Tahrir Square and elsewhere.
The results of the last elections can be
seen in many ways, from a poor understanding of the actual meaning of the vote by
some, others who just followed instructions, to those who voted for the
Islamists in the hope they would control the entrenched corruption, practiced
in large-scale and at the highest level.
The everyday “baksheesh” is there, like in
many parts of the world, a way of life. From the passport control at the
airport, to taxis, porters, waiters, policemen, guides at the Cairo Museum,
what you get depends directly on how much you give on top of the regular fare.
To the point that, even when receiving foreign delegates to an international
event, on at least one occasion is reported that the local authorities had greased
the paws of all those involved, to guarantee the smoothness of the operations. What
the population most resent is the appropriation of the state resources by the
same groups of profiteers, independently of regime change and who is in power.
The economy is in shambles. The Egyptian pound is in a
free fall, turning ever more expensive the imports denominated in dollars and
the subsidies for food, energy and other commodities. Without subsidies the
people would starve. The IMF would not agree on a loan without a reliable
government in place and a negotiated agreement to solve at least the most
damaging of the present economic ills and structural shortcomings. It will be
money down the drain, anyway.
The forthcoming parliamentary elections will likely only
bring more political infighting between the Brotherhood and socialists,
secularists, free-market liberals and who-knows-what. It is unlikely that
anything would change to the better anytime soon. This last revolution can
likely be another disaster, as Morsi and his religious faction has a stronghold
on all political powers, the writing of the constitution, the legal system and
the national institutions. Another disgrace, of the many the Nile strip has
endured during its very long history.
Egypt Before
For Egypt is very important for anyone with a general
view of the history of mankind. It is a warning that what occurred in the past
can be repeated in the future, as human nature remains the same despite the
advance of science, technology and the trappings of modernity. Its archaeological
findings defy time; its ancient architecture defines the concept of monumental.
Its symbols were, over the ages, stolen for legitimacy by every aspiring power.
You can recognize Egypt's inspiration on Greek and Roman temples, as you can
see the art, inscriptions and statues in museums of the major cities of the
world. Its obelisks transmit the sense of awe as much as they grace the squares
of Rome, Paris, London or Berlin.
After agriculture brought a sedentary life, Sumerians
started engraving stories of the creation of their world; other groups
organized themselves into cities and sent merchants by land and sea to trade
their products. Egypt combined it all to give birth to civilization. Before
falling under the Greek Ptolemys, the Roman Empire and the Arab invasion, Egypt
was the lighthouse of mankind.
The priests of its temples wrote the book
for all religions of mysteries and initiatic ceremonies to manipulate the
populace. They codified the rites for ensuring that life after death, the most
enduring human myth, turned into the most successful business racked of
antiquity: mummification. They established the central belief in three major
gods, mimicking the nuclear family, as well as the rival theological belief in
a single god-Sun, plus a plethora of minor gods for every taste and occasion. They
invented the hollow statues permitting them to speak through a god’s mouth,
together with the magicians' tricks giving the illusion of miracles. Their elaborate
ceremonies, hats and symbols can still be seen in present day churches and
secret societies.
Their accounts of history, written and represented on
the walls of temples, set the rules for all future autocrats and their
propaganda media: laudatory to the pharaoh in size and description, boosting
the morale of the fellahs by transforming defeats or ties in battle into
magnificent victories. All this made eternal by engraved texts and images in
bas-reliefs, who will ever doubt their veracity?
The local tribes enslaved by the ancient Egyptians,
later created their own versions of those beliefs and practices. Mainly Judaism,
which begot Christianity, which begot Islam. All together they managed to
destroy the Roman Empire and its Pantheon, supplanting the traditional
veneration of the gods of nature and human-like ancestors. Those religions and their
multiple quarrelling sects would also nourish war for millennia among
themselves.
Egypt Ever
Egypt is an addiction. Like all addictions,
you know it can be bad for you, its expensive and difficult to stop. For
decades the United States has been keeping the country afloat with massive
injections of annual stipenda. Without illusions that like in Iraq, Afghanistan
and elsewhere in the fantasy world of Moslemdom, all the good comes from Allah
and all the bad from the "crusaders"... Europe tries to appear supportive
but actually acts standoffish. The neighbouring countries respect Egypt’s size
and fear its influence, but keep their distances.
After so many
years of decay, occupation, destruction, neglect (and stealing of artefacts) by
foreign powers, followed by mismanagement and wars by a succession of
home-grown autocrats, Egypt was engulfed by the Arab Spring. Without surprise,
the usual sequence followed: a strongman is brought down by death or rebellion
and then a new strongman emerges. This time Mubarak fell and Morsi with the Muslim
Brotherhood are grabbing all powers. There is no place yet for western
democracy. In the background, the army lets the present pawns play to the world
and the local masses, provided they do not cross the red line of its own
interests and privileges.
JSR
Recebi vários e-mails sobre o Arab Spring, todos eles com pontos de vista de muito interesse. Porém, hesito, e por vezes os autores hesitam também, em publicá-los aqui. A razão principal é os autores habitarem, ou viajarem com frequência para estes países onde a livre expressão de opiniões pode criar os maiores problemas. Como exemplo, sugiro que leiam o artigo seguinte em "The Cairo Review of Global Affairs":
ReplyDeletehttp://www.aucegypt.edu/gapp/cairoreview/Pages/articleDetails.aspx?aid=309